Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 323.788657 367.201010 415.624130 473.887110 542.411563 620.839427 717.958589
2025-07-06 247.986337 301.506258 366.563104 452.378450 563.965776 706.064789 903.832515
2025-07-13 220.517022 281.172806 359.431353 469.656332 623.950818 836.999574 1162.068608
2025-07-20 202.673095 268.532037 357.734569 490.427147 688.219632 981.362552 1467.311787
2025-07-27 183.573107 250.783441 345.444736 492.696584 724.010295 1088.175010 1737.383474
2025-08-03 164.049301 229.685583 325.098358 479.064474 731.734091 1150.454514 1945.640964
2025-08-10 148.894834 213.071736 309.038731 469.130602 742.617088 1218.067976 2177.123907
2025-08-17 141.661489 207.404752 308.682707 483.718307 795.981465 1368.149245 2603.125540
2025-08-24 132.189848 197.237346 299.960258 482.869663 821.496379 1470.964072 2959.623821
2025-08-31 122.658001 186.045526 288.334746 475.317894 833.096279 1548.192814 3280.600994
2025-09-07 116.068651 178.997557 282.800831 477.727713 863.677030 1669.253150 3740.173981
2025-09-14 108.024015 168.854655 271.011733 467.146293 866.691213 1731.684384 4071.643626
2025-09-21 101.851264 161.528690 263.704170 464.654684 886.986057 1839.200580 4568.103691
2025-09-28 93.506225 149.878910 247.779681 443.793873 865.488928 1845.967813 4783.653711
2025-10-05 91.322429 148.776381 250.758087 460.663867 929.028611 2072.334421 5752.773749
2025-10-12 89.696812 148.502753 255.181958 480.949326 1003.787653 2346.037723 7009.016581
2025-10-19 85.924509 144.039317 251.260287 483.165395 1036.242830 2514.742504 7982.943922
2025-10-26 80.655447 136.454664 240.699074 469.852925 1028.583249 2568.864776 8548.801188
2025-11-02 76.225184 130.152664 232.174844 460.150750 1028.661142 2646.300970 9253.545443
2025-11-09 74.689098 129.205393 234.202084 474.397855 1093.179903 2937.330435 11063.461585
2025-11-16 71.712336 125.292464 229.902835 473.569086 1117.320499 3107.011746 12426.009819
2025-11-23 68.317416 120.357069 223.130569 466.193853 1122.289066 3214.694123 13553.820056
2025-11-30 66.063871 117.523367 220.525713 468.547403 1155.329342 3429.677343 15430.348523